Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030299 0.032661 0.035134 0.037918 0.040969 0.044215 0.047936
2025-02-09 0.026272 0.029596 0.033261 0.037617 0.042671 0.048372 0.055319
2025-02-16 0.023630 0.027506 0.031952 0.037458 0.044134 0.052017 0.062106
2025-02-23 0.021591 0.025797 0.030775 0.037150 0.045163 0.054993 0.068105
2025-03-02 0.020107 0.024563 0.029981 0.037120 0.046382 0.058133 0.074397
2025-03-09 0.018657 0.023225 0.028908 0.036584 0.046819 0.060194 0.079320
2025-03-16 0.017342 0.021947 0.027791 0.035861 0.046889 0.061685 0.083484
2025-03-23 0.016345 0.021002 0.027025 0.035515 0.047385 0.063717 0.088475
2025-03-30 0.015467 0.020154 0.026320 0.035177 0.047828 0.065651 0.093406
2025-04-06 0.014557 0.019205 0.025413 0.034483 0.047691 0.066702 0.097046
2025-04-13 0.014098 0.018841 0.025279 0.034854 0.049086 0.070043 0.104392
2025-04-20 0.013552 0.018324 0.024895 0.034829 0.049872 0.072493 0.110493
2025-04-27 0.013177 0.018034 0.024822 0.035260 0.051379 0.076162 0.118900
2025-05-04 0.012598 0.017422 0.024254 0.034914 0.051661 0.077919 0.124266
2025-05-11 0.012117 0.016928 0.023828 0.034753 0.052208 0.080114 0.130529
2025-05-18 0.011637 0.016412 0.023343 0.034467 0.052526 0.081935 0.136259
2025-05-25 0.011259 0.016031 0.023038 0.034439 0.053249 0.084458 0.143431
2025-06-01 0.010789 0.015489 0.022464 0.033948 0.053169 0.085593 0.148123
2025-06-08 0.010308 0.014910 0.021806 0.033287 0.052758 0.086114 0.151676
2025-06-15 0.009938 0.014489 0.021374 0.032970 0.052908 0.087620 0.157227
2025-06-22 0.009593 0.014090 0.020961 0.032661 0.053047 0.089103 0.162838
2025-06-29 0.009194 0.013593 0.020371 0.032026 0.052572 0.089425 0.166124
2025-07-06 0.009030 0.013462 0.020359 0.032366 0.053848 0.093064 0.176517